VU 2021 Election Study: Issues of COVID-19 and Childs Benefits Scandal in Dutch Elections
Child Benefits Scandal in the Dutch Elections
On average 33% of the respondents thought that the government had to step down over the child benefits scandal (visualized by the dashed line in the figure below). If you intend to vote for VVD or CDA (two of the current (interim) government parties), you are more likely to say that the government should not have fallen over this. If you intent to vote for the smaller (interim) government parties, CU or D66, you are more likely to say that the government was right to step down of the child benefits scandal. Other than current interim government parties, people intending to vote for the animal rights party (PvdD), the greens (GL), or Baudet’s party (FvD) were less in favor of the government stepping down. If you intend to vote for the socialist party (SP), Denk, the orthodox christian party (SGP), or the elderly party (50+), you are more likely to say that the government was right to step down of the child benefits scandal.
Download data: [Figure Childs Benefits Scandal - Party]
Looking at how the Child Benefits Scandal affects the evaluation of Rutte, we see that – as expected – if you positively evaluate Rutte, you are more likely to say that the government shouldn’t have fallen and vice versa.
Download data: [Figure Childs Benefits Scandal - Rutte]
Covid-19 in the Dutch Elections
The most important issue in the elections of 2021 is Covid-19. Accross the board, people do support the Corona measures (average of 7.3 on a scale from 0-10), visualized by the dashed line in the figure below. 77% of the Dutch populatation support the Corona measures. The figure below also shows some variations over parties and between measures. On average, there’s least support for the curfew and for opening shops, bars, and restaurants accross all parties. Moreover, between parties, if you intend to vote Baudet’s party (FvD), Wilders’ party (PVV) or Denk, you’re least supportive of the Corona measures. If you intend to vote for any of the other parties, you are quite supportive of the measures, with unsurpisingly people voting for the elderly party (50+) to be most supportive.
Download data: [Figure Support Corona Measures - Party]
Looking at the evaluation for PM Rutte based on the Corona measures (see figure below), we see that there are hardly differences between your support for the Corona measures and how well you evaluate Rutte, except for the measures Curfew, Opening of Shops, Bars and Restaurants, and Wearing Masks.
Download data: [Figure Support Corona Measures - Rutte]